McConnell previews ‘very close’ Senate election this fall as Republican hopefuls struggle

The National Republican Senate Committee has resorted to cutting and shifting advertising costs to conserve resources as many candidates lag behind Senate Democratic opponents in fundraising. Election forecasters have also changed their view of the crucial race in Pennsylvania to favor Democrats.

With less than 100 days to go until November’s midterm elections, Senate Democrats have seen some encouraging signs in this week’s tough political environment. Republicans need to flip a net one seat to win back the Senate and five seats to win back the House.

McConnell predicted on Thursday that the 2022 election will take place in a “very close” Senate, “either slightly on our side or slightly on their side.”

“I think the House is probably more likely to be overturned than the Senate,” he said at a luncheon at the Northern Kentucky Chamber of Commerce in Florence, Kentucky.

“Senator elections are completely different. They are spread across the state,” he added. “The quality of candidates has a lot to do with results.”

Democrats participating in the Senate race argue that Republican candidates in states such as Arizona, Pennsylvania and Georgia are deeply flawed candidates who struggle to connect with voters in the general election.

It extends to Ohio, where Vance, author of “Hillbilly Elegy,” has a stranglehold with Democratic Rep. Tim Ryan, despite his state’s red-leaning nature.The Senate Leadership Fund said Thursday it will reserve $28 million in advertising beginning Sept. 6 to back Vance. (Vance has recently drawn controversy over his remarks.) suggest that woman too “violent” marriage It should stay in them for the benefit of the children. )
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of Nonpartisan Cook Political Report We also moved the Pennsylvania Senate open race from the “Toss Up” column to the “Lean Democrats” category. Dr. Mehmet Oz is competing with Lt. John Fetterman in what he considers one of the best pick-up opportunities for Democrats this cycle.

Like many other Senate Republican candidates, Vance and Oz have been overtaken by Democratic opponents and have turned to outside groups to fill the gap. Walker, Rep. Ted Budd of North Carolina, Adam Laxalt of Nevada, Senator Marco Rubio of Florida, Joe O’Dea of ​​Colorado, and the Republican candidates of New Hampshire are all Republicans. lost to the candidates of Money Race Democrats.

Democrats, on the other hand, have benefited from a recent surge in legislative activity, including signing bills to lower prescription drug prices and carbon footprints. And inflation, America’s biggest concern, may finally cool off.

Still, Democrats face severe political headwinds this fall. The ruling party historically lost seats in the first midterm elections, with President Joe Biden’s approval ratings hovering near his 40%.

NRSC spokesman Chris Hartline said, “Democrat incumbents have been 100 percent behind Joe Biden and his dire agenda, but the Democratic challenger has stopped funding the police. and has adopted radical positions such as banning fracking.

Cook Political Report I got off On Thursday, the Colorado senators waged a race from “likely” to “lean” Democrats. Republicans say O’Dare could beat Democratic Senator Michael Bennett in a state Biden won by more than 13 points in 2020.

Democrats believe that a combination of factors—legislative track record, improving economic conditions, flawed Republican candidates, the Roe v. Wade overthrow, and the swirling investigations surrounding Trump—will bolster them in an otherwise difficult situation. I hope it helps you in your election year.

Christy Roberts, Executive Director of the Democratic Senate Election Committee, recently said, “We know the races in any of our hottest districts will be tough, and the DSCC will continue to take nothing for granted. would not think,” he wrote.

As the Senate battlefield takes shape, Democrats see a ray of hope

McConnell says the Republican Party must work to appeal to moderate and suburban women. He and his Senate Republican faction voted for a bipartisan bill to strengthen infrastructure, improve gun safety and make it more competitive with China while addressing a global chip shortage. .

“No matter who is good or who is bad, we will try to find a way to make some progress for the country. And I think we have done it with infrastructure. I think we’re talking about school safety and mental health. And I think we’ve done it with the tip bill. , found a way to make some progress for the country.”

McConnell’s comments on Thursday were about what could be a tough battle this fall, pointing to historic trends that point to Biden’s low approval ratings and the president’s party’s loss in the first post-election midterm elections, among others. was significantly less bullish than the Republican leader’s comments in .

But even with just one pick-up to regain control of the U.S. Senate, the GOP’s prospects are fading slightly after a summer nomination race. Inexperienced candidates are plaguing the party, which McConnell alluded to in his remarks about “candidate quality.”

In Georgia, Walker stumbled on a string of high-profile gaffes, while opposition Democratic Senator Raphael Warnock accused him of attacking ads fueled by blockbuster fundraising. In Pennsylvania, first-time nominee Oz gave most of the airwaves to Democratic opponent Fetterman over the summer, but online he appeared to reinforce his opponent’s carpetbagger accusations. It spread the apparent failure of the election campaign.

Republican National Committee Chairman Ronna McDaniel also seems to acknowledge that the Republican Party is having trouble with the Senate race, saying in a Fox interview earlier this month that “Democrats are giving Senate candidates money. It has a big advantage in procurement,” he said, urging his supporters to contribute to candidates in fierce battlefields.

Republican spending groups have already spent tens of millions of dollars on ads that attack the Democratic Party and boost the Republican Party to help pick up the slack. was early involved in Meanwhile, a major super PAC, the Senate Leadership Fund, has booked $150 million in airtime over the upcoming fall months.

CNN’s Ali Zaslav contributed to this report.

Source: www.cnn.com

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