Opinion: The Control Inflation Act is a big win in this existential battle

To get the disclaimer out of the way: It by no means solves the entire climate problem. Regardless, we still want more warming. Heatwaves, wildfires, floods, and other things we’re starting to see on a daily basis will get worse for at least another few decades. The bill also states climate perspectiveperhaps like that new offshore oil lease, Added to appease Senator Manchinwhose vote was essential to the passage of the bill.

Consider history here. In the almost 30-year history of international climate negotiations, the United States has been more of a problem for the rest of the world than we are the leader we should be.

Congress has been unable to find a way to ratify the Kyoto Protocol or any other agreement that mandates actual emission reductions.of Waxman-Markey BillIt was the last major climate-related bill to be introduced to Congress during an era when Democrats controlled both the House and the White House, and passed the House. Elected to the Senate in 2010facing a difficult economic climate, intense fossil fuel industry lobbying, and Republican opposition (sound familiar?).
Then in 2015 Obama reversed the trend, Paris Agreement It specified only voluntary donations from participating countries. That was the only way he could skip congressional approval. intent to pull us out of agreement In fact, it’s hard to see it as anything other than climate and treaty-hating malice, as it allows us to comply with the agreement without doing anything to reduce emissions.)
Depending on whether they fall for optimism or pessimism, there is always the possibility that some countries will fall short of their Paris Agreement commitments or decide to cut back to marginal levels. It has even been thought that there is. America has a dysfunctional political system and deep allegiance to the Republican Party For the fossil fuel industry.

Then, from the beginning of 2021, it seemed that we would actually comply with the Paris Agreement after all, but that was not the case. The past year and a half has been a painful roller coaster ride for those of us who care about the future of humanity and other species on Earth, and embrace global scientific consensus about how climate change threatens us. It was something like

When Democrats narrowly won both the president and the House of Representatives in 2021, there was a period of hope that the “Build Back Better” bill would pass. This represents a major victory for the climate movement and addresses many other social justice goals. But after a long period of inexplicable dithering, Manchin pulled the carpet out from under his BBB and seemed hopeless for any meaningful climate law.

Why did Manchin finally change his mind and decide to support the Inflation Reduction Act? I don’t know, and I don’t care. The IRA may have lost much of the BBB’s non-climatic content, but most of the climatic elements are included.Scheduled to be delivered Nearly 40% reduction Compared to 2005 levels, America’s carbon footprint by 2030 is very close to President Biden’s pledge of 50-52% over the same period.

This is the real deal.

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There has never been a climate law passed in the United States that comes close to this substantive. These emissions reductions are not only really important in themselves, they show that they are politically possible. This means that enough people care about climate issues and that they can be addressed by the political system. And they allow us to look to other countries when we ask them to do their part as well.

Politically, the IRA works to combat climate change primarily through investment rather than regulation and taxes. It gives people and businesses money (some directly, some through tax breaks) to spend on electric vehicles, heat pumps, wind power, solar power, and many other emission reduction measures.

It will stimulate growth and good jobs in the private sector. Further emissions reductions are possible as technology improves more rapidly than other methods. The industry that emerges from it may gain political power comparable to the fossil fuel industry, creating an offsetting force. (People can dream.)

The United States currently accounts for about 11% of global emissions. report By Rhodium Group, a research and consulting firm. Reducing that 40% by 2030 is a significant contribution in itself. But to reach zero emissions globally, the rest of the world, including countries like China and India, would also need to agree to cuts. So far, our credibility in climate change negotiations has been weak due to our own poor track record, including our status as responsible nations. Historically Highest Emissionsif you sum all the past years instead of only considering the most recent ones).
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The IRA transforms America from an ineffective negotiator into a model leader. Also, the technological developments that IRA investments will bring will facilitate much-needed global emissions reductions, much like past investments in solar panels, for example, have done. reduce costs We strengthened the necessary technology and increased its effectiveness.
This investment approach reflects a shift in thinking in recent years, particularly among some climate policy experts in the Biden administration. Away from carbon taxes and cap-and-trade systems Like the one that didn’t become law at the Waxman Marquee.this rethink the place With the emphasis on overcoming real-life political constraints, such as the failure of Waxman-Markey itself and the growing partisanship that followed, the economist’s model (which usually does not account for politics) is best suited. There is no longer an emphasis on saying there is. The passage of the IRA seems to have proved this right.

There has been a great deal of focus on Manchin for obvious reasons, but this must be said: All Republicans who voted against the IRA – they are all of them – should be deeply ashamed of themselves. is.

Their repeated claims about taxes and inflation can’t hide where they really are. complete denial there is a climate problem reluctantly agree That, coupled with delay tactics and a complete lack of interest in doing anything about it. In recent years, we may have moved a little further from denial, but the real result is yet to take action. Manchin wouldn’t have mattered so much if Republican senators had shown a tendency to engage constructively.

No, the real change is that the Democrats, who for years have been unwilling or unable to do much about climate change, are finally putting it on the top of their agenda and making historic progress against a difficult possibility. It is to gather the will to pass laws. .

This is not normal for 1 microsecond. In my opinion, the youth climate movement, along with its older allies, should take a large part of the credit for building pressure and bringing the issue to the forefront of people’s minds. Let me thank my colleagues, the hardworking scientists, who have spent decades conducting research, writing papers, and summarizing them in IPCC reports and national climate assessments, leading to increasingly disastrous I have clarified the facts.)

But at a time when the twin slow-moving catastrophes of U.S. politics and the global climate crisis are making it so painful for many of us to read the news every day, take a moment and think about something. It’s important to celebrate when good things happen. It really is.President Biden and the team, and even Joe Manchin, who for months was reluctant to support such a bill, and everyone else who pushed it to this point, well done

Source: www.cnn.com

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