Opinion: How Pelosi visits Taiwan without causing a foreign policy storm

But is there a loophole? Is there a way to untie this damn knot?

The dispute broke out last week after President Joe Biden almost confirmed that Pelosi’s trip was under consideration when he answered the reporter’s question. say it “The military thinks it’s not a good idea so far.”
China, Consider democratic Taiwan Probably a state of rebellion Aiming to get it back It responded to menacing remarks at some point in the future.Beijing Ministry of Foreign Affairs spokesman warning“If the United States insists on a visit, China will respond decisively and take strong action to take action,” he added, “meaning what we say.”
China has raised the temperature of the threat.Quoted from the Communist Party Global Times article An unnamed expert says Pelosi’s visit is a “strategic level of provocation,” warning that the response is “not only military but also strategic.”

During a more than two-hour phone call between Biden and President Xi Jinping on Thursday, Chinese officials alleged that Xi Jinping warned that he would “burn if he played with fire.”

Is Xi bluffing? Only he knows.

What’s fascinating about this high-stakes showdown is that Pelosi before she got infected with Covid-19 last spring. I was planning to visit Taiwan in April. China blamed the trip, but the reaction did not include the currently visible anger of smoking. There is something about the timing of the visit that caused the hackle in Beijing. And Beijing means Xi.

And there may be an answer to this conundrum.

This is an important time for Chinese leaders. The Chinese economy faces the most dire challenges of decades.GDP growth after years of galloping at a dazzling rate Stalled.. Xi’s Zero Corona Strategy Increased youth unemployment..And his government is facing Dramatic mortgage crisis, Tease the financial giant When Mass street protest..
All of this is done before the important event date held November of this year.Xi officially at the National Congress of the Chinese Communist Party, not the US midterm elections Unprecedented third term As a country leader. (The Constitution was amended in 2018 to allow him to serve indefinitely.)

This is the perfect time to show the Chinese people that Xi is not afraid to play against the United States and challenge Washington, DC. Conflicts with the United States could inflate China’s nationalism, already stimulated by anti-American sentiment, and divert attention from domestic issues.

In fact, Pelosi’s visit will give Xi the opportunity to strengthen his qualifications by leading the country with the enthusiasm of nationalists in a conflict with the United States.

The dilemma is clear. If Pelosi retreats and allows China’s threat to spread, it could make Beijing bold-make the United States look weak and Taiwan look vulnerable. Otherwise, there is a risk of conflict.China is increasingly making that claim Military means in recent years.
Opinion: & # 39; I'm part of the dying variety of Taiwanese & # 39;
Pelosi himself Proposed The Pentagon is worried that the Chinese could attack her plane. What if they try to interfere with her flight?

The world is already on the edge of the knife and there is a fierce war in Ukraine. The last thing everyone needs is another military conflict. However, small spats that can easily escalate can serve the purpose of Xi.

Xi and Biden during today’s phone call for what it’s worth I allegedly agreed Manage those differences Responsibly..
The White House said Biden Told Xi “The United States strongly opposes unilateral efforts to change the status quo and undermine the peace and stability of the entire Taiwan Strait,” reminding him that Pelosi’s visit does not mean a change in US policy. rice field.
Pelosi hasn’t announced plans yet, but a few days ago it reaffirmed its long-standing commitment to Taiwan, one of Asia’s most vibrant democracies and the ever-increasing threat from Beijing. did. “I think it’s important to show support for Taiwan,” he said. She said..
Allowing Taiwan to continue its own course was one of the subtexts of international assistance to Ukraine in the face of Russia’s aggression.Similarities between Ukraine and Taiwan, much bigger, more powerful, and two democracy claimed by more people than ever before Aggressive neighbor, Impressive.Beijing Looking The West supports Ukraine and the West monitors Beijing, wondering what lessons they have learned from Russia’s experience.
That is why the message of solidarity with Taiwan is so important.That’s why it’s usually maintained by the split Washington. Bipartisan support For Taipei, and why the Biden administration gave Taiwan muscular support.In the last few months, the United States Increased weapon sales, Increased navy patrols And was given diplomatic support, including: On other visits From US authorities.
Biden has gone as far as the United States declares three times that come To defend Taiwan if China attacks. The statement was from Washington, “Policy of deliberate, “This cannot answer the question and can be interpreted as doubting Washington’s” One China “policy. The policy, in the eyes of the United States, does not recognize Taiwan (formally the Republic) and claims that the Beijing government is China’s only government. As another country (of China).

There is no perfect solution to this dilemma. The closest is the announcement that Pelosi will definitely go to Taiwan, which will happen later, probably next year, when the November party convention passes. When Xi has little to prove. A visit by House leaders can reassure Taiwanese people that they will help the United States respect, respect and defend their democracy and say it directly without helping Xi. When you can.

Source: www.cnn.com

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