Does Roe’s decision have a political silver backing for the Democratic Party?

1) More than three out of four Democrats (78%) said a court decision made them more likely to vote in the fall. The Republican majority (54%) said the same thing.

2) Democrats are currently leading questions on general ballots (“Which of the Democrats or Republicans will you vote for in today’s election?”) 48% to 41% ahead of Republicans, 10 since the NPR vote Significant fluctuations in points April.

And new in case you think those numbers are outliers CBS / YouGov Poll Implemented in response to Roe’s decision, it was found that 6 out of 10 Americans and 67% of women were against the court’s decision.

These numbers may be a cold comfort to many who see states (especially the South) already banning abortions, but courts unknowingly changed the argument in the midterm elections. It suggests that it may have been.

A strict and swift political rule is that the party of the current president loses his seat in the House of Representatives in his first midterm election. And when the president, like Joe Biden, is under 50% approval, his party tends to lose a lot. (If the president is less than 50%, the average seat loss of the presidential party is 37 house sheets as of 2018 Gallup analysis.. )
Given that, Cook Political Report with Amy WalterRepublicans estimate that they are heading for 25 to 35 seats in the House of Representatives-more than enough for the party to regain the majority.

What is clear is that, at this point, the ruling has awakened the Democratic base to medium-term bets. And it doubles for women.

This is a non-critical development.of 2018 -When the Democratic Party won 41 seats and regained a majority in the House of Representatives-Women accounted for more than half (52%) of voters, and the Democratic Party won women with 19 points. Four years ago, when the Republican Party won 13 seats, Democrats won women with only 4 points..

The conclusion here is clear. Democrats need a large margin among women, especially those in the suburbs, to get the chance. Many other swing groups, including independents, are strongly opposed to them.

What’s far less clear is that anger and anger can last a) all the way to November, and b) defeat economic problems such as inflation and gas prices when it comes to what swing voters really care about. Is it possible?

Democrats in some districts and states have already aired in television ads hoping to take advantage of their anger at court decisions. Look at the radio waves for the next few months to see if it continues. If so, there is reason to conclude that the problem is moving voters.

point: This election is still becoming a good election for the Republicans. The question now is whether Roe’s decision can limit Democratic losses.

Source: www.cnn.com

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