“The hurricane is on our way,” JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon said at a financial conference in New York.
Larry Summers, a former Treasury Secretary and White House economic adviser under two Democratic presidents, told CNN “unfortunate and painful facts.” 2 years.
Both Dimon and Summers I said their prophecy.
“I don’t know if it’s a minor or a superstorm sundi,” Dimon said in an extended hurricane analogy. But he added, “You should support yourself.”
Economists, like everyone else, are often wrong. Summers and Dimon were among those who warned last year that Federal Reserve and Treasury leaders were wrong about inflation.
Officials said inflation, which is currently at its highest level in 40 years, will be temporary.
‘I was wrong’
That temporary inflation forecast wasn’t true, and Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen now easily admits it.
On Tuesday, when CNN’s Wolf Blitzer played a clip a year ago for Yellen, she owned it, saying she didn’t expect inflation to be a problem.
“Well, I think I was wrong about the path of inflation,” she said.
Why was she wrong?
“I didn’t fully understand the unexpected big shock to the economy that pushed up energy and food prices and the supply bottlenecks that had a negative impact on the economy that I didn’t understand at the time,” Yellen said. I pointed out.
The war in Ukraine affected fuel and food prices.
Covid-19 variants continue to affect workers, A roaring supply chain.
Who knows what unexpected things will happen next?
I’m taking it seriously now
Gasoline prices set a new record of $ 4.67 a gallon upon Wednesday confused some experts who thought prices might ever go down.
More rate hikes will be needed
Summers argued Wednesday that it was almost guaranteed that the Federal Reserve would have to raise interest rates far more than it had to curb inflation. He said the Fed may have to continue raising rates even if it feels inflation is restrained.
bright side
Inflation feels sick and you just go to a grocery store or eat, but it’s still far from the 1970s.
Job increase will be slower
Yellen told Blitzer that the increase in work was slowing down and the goal now is to maintain them.
Don’t get in the way of the Fed
Before the meeting between Powell and Yellen, Biden’s main answer to the fight against inflation was to stay out of the way of the Fed and “respect the Fed’s independence.”
In contrast, former President Donald Trump has regularly pressured the Fed to keep interest rates low.
Summers proposed to revoke the corporate tax cuts enacted by Trump and the Republicans in 2017, which would require more time and more votes than the Democrats currently have in the Senate.
According to him, the main thing is to face inflation now and avoid bigger problems in the future.
According to Summers, the rule of thumb is that concern. Interest rates can stop inflation when it exceeds inflation.
In other words, borrowing money in the next few years can be much more expensive.
“I think that’s something we have to keep in mind, which was necessary in the past to curb inflation,” he said.
Summers warned that he might be wrong, but he’s ready.
Source: www.cnn.com